Guest wrote:Different poster here. I get what you are saying. Just if you are 6th round or lower the odds favour the kid never getting a D1 offer. Back in 1990, that wouldn't be the case. But today definitely the case. I think 80% have no chance of getting to D1. It is certainly a difficult proposition or bind for those that seem to have no incentive as you state. Because the odds favour that eventually making the O for some number of games is likely the highest level of hockey they could plausibly attain.
That is complete BS, you either are very new to this or are an insider trying to promote the league
Many late round picks and even non drafted players receive D1 offers every year, maybe not right away but if the kid is good enough eventually they do.
You clearly did not read or understand my original reply. I fully agree that some percentage of players drafted 6th round or lower or not drafted at all end up in D1. And a substantial percentage from that same bucket end up in D3. Similarly a high percentage end up in CIS having never burned their NCAA eligibility. For every 5 players in this boat I am saying 4 won't get to that ultimate goal of D1. It is easy to assess the rosters of D1 teams every year, and review how many Ontario kids are in those rosters and work your way backwards to do the math. The math has been going in the wrong direction year over year.
I don't think we are disagreeing. I agree with you that some players eventually develop and earn a spot due to keeping at the goal. Are you say information that not many who maintain that goal through age 20 fail? I know of cases where a D3 "offer" is delayed for one more year and the kid never ends up on the roster of college hockey.